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Analysis of the currency crisis in Russia
Nikonova, Inga ; Brůna, Karel (advisor) ; Šíma, Ondřej (referee)
This bachelor thesis describes the financial crisis in the Russian Federation, which happened in 2014. The theoretical part covers the necessary general information concerning the financial crisis: the definition, the causes of the origin and the general theoretical models of the crisis. This section also describes two types of crisis indicators, more specifically deals with modern indicators and generalizes the effects of the currency crisis on the economy. The analytical part focuses on the analysis of the financial crisis in compliance with the theoretical part. In addition, the author performs an econometric analysis of the change of exchange rate change on the change of modern indicators and conducts a regression model. In conclusion, the author summarizes the impact of the recent currency crisis on various areas of the Russian economy.
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Economic policy of the Russian Federation in 2008-2015
Hertz, David ; Soukup, Jindřich (advisor) ; Kulbakov, Nikolay (referee)
The bachelor thesis deals with the analysis of the economic situation of the Russian Federation in 2008-2015 and it´s future outlooks. The man aim of the thesis is to monitor the development of macroeconomic data in the period 2008-2015, to analyze their impact on different parts of the economy, to identify the reasons and causes of their changes as well as their future development. The first chapter deals with the analysis and assessment of macroeconomic indicators in 2008-2014. The second chapter focuses on the structure of the Russian economy and thoroughly breakdown the two major commodities, namely oil and natural gas. The third chapter describes the main economic shocks affecting the Russian economy in 2014 and their subsequent empact on the country. The aim of the last chapter is to outline the future development of Russia and it´s economy through mid-term and long-term scenarios.
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Crude Oil and its Economic Effects on Russia
Gryzunov, Anton ; Chytilová, Helena (advisor) ; Prokop, Jaromír (referee)
With help of regression analysis it was concluded that there is positive relationship between real GDP and Brent oil price. Also the positive dependence was found between real GDP and both index of industrial production and real personal consumption expenditures. On the other hand the relationship between long-term interest rate and real GDP was negative. Unemployment rate and consumer price index were not significant and had negative dependence with real GDP. The aforementioned hypothesis about the negative relationship between GDP and price of oil was confirmed in line with initial theoretical predictions based on detailed review of Russian economy.
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Global financial crisis and its impacts on the economy of the Russian Federation
Bolotov, Ilya ; Štěrbová, Ludmila (advisor) ; Petříček, Václav (referee) ; Baláž, Peter (referee) ; Fingerland, Jaroslav (referee)
The thesis describes and analyses the problem of the global financial and economic crisis and its influence on the Russian economy. It constitutes a synthesis of main approaches to the crisis' examination from the years 2008-2011 and develops its own theoretical model for explaining the crisis' emergence and spreading in an open economy, and also analyses in detail the state of the Russian economy and anti-crisis measures. The thesis is based on assumptions that the crisis could have been explained and foreseen theoretically with the help of macroeconomic models, that the anti-crisis policy was in majority of cases inefficient, and that the problems of the Russian economy were caused not only by the global recession, but also by its internal imbalances. On the methodological side, the thesis is based on the ideas of the Austrian and Keynesian economics (the Austrian business cycle model and post- and neo-Keynesian branches) and the financial crises economics and partly on selected thoughts of the Marxian economics, and is divided into four chapters. In the first chapter, the attention is given to the four main heterodox theoretical approaches to explaining financial and economic crises and to the development of a synthetic model. In the second chapter, the reasons, course and main previsions of the U.S. and global crisis are examined and the synthetic model from the first chapter is empirically tested. In the third chapter, the degree of the crisis' influence on different groups of countries is estimated, followed by a description of its main transmission channels and an analysis of anti-crisis measures at the global level. The fourth chapter is dedicated to the specifics of the Russian economy, its development during the crisis and to the anti-crisis policy of the Russian government and of the Central Bank of Russia. The thesis attempts to fill the gap in the existing economic literature by presenting new findings in the above-mentioned areas.
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The financial crisis and its impact on Russia's foreign trade
Hadová, Petra ; Stuchlíková, Zuzana (advisor) ; Nováková, Jana (referee)
The presented bachelor thesis deals with the global financial crisis and its course in the greatest country in the world -- in Russia. The first part of this work deals with characterization of economic situation in Russia since the early 90 years until 2008, when the financial crisis spread from the U.S. to the world. The next part deals with specific causes of the crisis in Russia and its impact on the Russian stock market. The reaction of the Russian government and Central bank are mentioned here too. The last part is devoted to foreign trade, which was affected by lower oil prices. The main objective of this bachelor thesis is to analyze the course of the financial crisis in Russia, to identify the main causes and also the consequences of the crisis. The conclusion summarizes the results, which I concluded. In the conclusion are solutions that could help minimize losses in the future.
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Development of Russia economy under Putin governance
Šnejdarová, Ilona ; Žamberský, Pavel (advisor) ; Suchá, Tereza (referee)
The aim is to characterize the progression of the Russian economy after 2000, and the influence of Vladimir Putin. The beginning of the first chapter briefly outlines the situation before 2000. The main part follows up the assessment of macroeconomic indicators, classified according to the mandates of President Putin. The second chapter deals with relations between Russia and the EU and the U.S. The final part focuses on the impact of Putin's role as a premiere of the country and the prospects of the Russian economy.
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